1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 prediction
BundesligaRound 7
1. FC Köln15:30
Sat 24 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FC Schalke 04Most likely1. FC Köln win · 42%
Best price2.25 Onexbet
Prediction
43%11. FC Kölnmarket 44%
28%XDrawmarket 26%
29%2FC Schalke 04market 30%
1. FC Köln-1.3 ppDraw+2.6 ppFC Schalke 04-1.3 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1. FC Köln | Draw | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Onexbet | 2.25best | 3.78best | 3.27best |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — 1. FC Köln at 2.25 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
1. FC Köln
- W2-1BM
- L1-2HS
- D1-1WB
- L1-4VS
- W3-21H
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Schalke 04
- L1-2SF
- D0-0SE
- W3-1UB
- D0-0BM
- L0-3FA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
1. FC Köln
No reported absences.
FC Schalke 04
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
1. FC Köln
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.78last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 7
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 10 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 15.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.3last 10
- Fouls
- 8.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
FC Schalke 04
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 5
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 5
- xG for / game
- 1.23last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- BTTS
- 2 / 5
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 5
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 5
- Shots
- 10.4last 5
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 5
- Fouls
- 8.8last 5
- Yellow cards
- 1.0last 5
Line movement
1. FC Köln—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Schalke 04—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a 1. FC Köln result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)4.99Defensive xG form (home)4.29Pi-rating edge-0.19What's at stake (away)0.23Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)84.8Home advantage (team-tuned)49.5
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.