1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 prediction
BundesligaRound 9Prezero Arena
1899 Hoffenheim2–1
FinalFinal
FC Schalke 04Oddbert's view
This call was made before kick-off.
Most likely: 1899 Hoffenheim win
Oddbert gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 59% chance of winning.
59%1899 Hoffenheim
23%Draw
18%FC Schalke 04
In 100 matches like this, 1899 Hoffenheim would win about 59. In the other 41 or so, 1899 Hoffenheim doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: 1899 Hoffenheim win 59, Draw 23, FC Schalke 04 win 18.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
59%11899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim winmarket 62%
23%XDrawDrawmarket 21%
18%2FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04 winmarket 17%
Our model vs market
1899 Hoffenheim -2.9 ppDraw +2.0 ppFC Schalke 04 +0.9 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 sharp book) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 08 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
1899 Hoffenheim meet FC Schalke 04. The model leans toward 1899 Hoffenheim, shaped mainly by Fixture congestion (home) and Attacking xG form (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | 1899 Hoffenheimpays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 6% more than the typical book | FC Schalke 04pays 9% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.60best | 4.45 | 5.70best |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.65best | 5.45 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Verdict
Oddbert gave 1899 Hoffenheim 59% — the match ended 2–1.
The most likely result happened.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
1899 Hoffenheim
- D1-1CP
- L0-2WB
- W3-0BL
- W3-0LYO
- W2-1BM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Schalke 04
- L0-2RL
- D0-01FK
- L0-1FM0
- L1-2SF
- D0-0SE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
1899 Hoffenheim
No reported absences.
FC Schalke 04
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
1899 Hoffenheim
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.79last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.28last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 17.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 15.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- A. Kramarić2G 3A10 apps
- A. Hložek3G 1A9 apps
- A. Prass3G 1A6 apps
FC Schalke 04
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.5last 8
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 8
- xG for / game
- 0.97last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.90last 8
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 8
- BTTS
- 2 / 8
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 8
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.2last 8
- Shots
- 9.5last 8
- Shots on target
- 2.9last 8
- Fouls
- 10.5last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 8
Key players
- A. Aouchiche1G 0A8 apps
- M. Wober1G 0A6 apps
- R. Gosens1G 0A7 apps
Referee profile
- Referee
- Martin Petersen
- Yellows / game
- 2.5
- Matches officiated
- 2
Weather
- Temperature
- 8°C
- Conditions
- Clouds
- Wind
- 1 km/h
Weather data from OpenWeather, used under the Open Database License (ODbL).
Venue
- Venue
- Prezero Arena, Sinsheim
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 30,164
Line movement
1899 Hoffenheim62%
Fri 30 Oct – Sun 8 Nov+1.8 pp
Draw21%
Fri 30 Oct – Sun 8 Nov-0.5 pp
FC Schalke 0417%
Fri 30 Oct – Sun 8 Nov-1.3 pp
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward 1899 Hoffenheim, shaped mainly by Fixture congestion (home) and Attacking xG form (home). See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Fixture congestion (home)4.00Attacking xG form (home)1.93Pi-rating edge0.19Attacking xG form (away)0.58Expected goals (home)1.27What's at stake (home)0.02
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.
Verdict
Predicted1899 Hoffenheim
Actual1899 Hoffenheim
RPS0.1007lower is better
CLV—
Words explained: