Aarhus vs AC Horsens prediction
SuperligaRound 14
Aarhus14:00
Sun 8 Nov
Prediction T-24h
AC HorsensMost likelyAarhus win · 50%
Prediction
50%1Aarhus
28%XDraw
22%2AC Horsens
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Aarhus
- W3-0SON
- D2-2AH
- L0-2FN
- D2-2SIL
- L0-2FM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
AC Horsens
- D3-3SIL
- D2-2AAR
- L0-2FC
- W5-2SON
- L2-3VIB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Aarhus
No reported absences.
AC Horsens
No reported absences.
Head to head
Aarhus 0Draws 1AC Horsens 0
- AH 2-2 AAR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Aarhus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.55last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 8
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 16.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- Kristian Arnstad1G 1A1 apps
- Frederik Tingager1G 0A1 apps
- J. Serra1G 0A1 apps
AC Horsens
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.38last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.65last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 16.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Line movement
Aarhus—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
AC Horsens—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Aarhus result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (away) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)2.26Pi-rating edge0.35Defensive xG form (away)2.29Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)185What's at stake (home)0.19Defensive xG form (home)1.68
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.