Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 2
Aarhus21:00
Thu 22 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Egnatia RrogozhinëMost likelyAarhus win · 48%
Prediction
47%1Aarhus
28%XDraw
25%2Egnatia Rrogozhinë
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Aarhus
- W3-0SON
- D2-2AH
- L0-2FN
- D2-2SIL
- L0-2FM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- L1-2LIL
- D0-0LIL
- W5-1SR
- L1-3SR
- D1-1CEL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Aarhus
No reported absences.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Aarhus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.55last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 8
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 15.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Key players
- Kristian Arnstad1G 1A1 apps
- Frederik Tingager1G 0A1 apps
- J. Serra1G 0A1 apps
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 6
- Shots
- 8.5last 4
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 6
- Fouls
- 9.5last 2
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 7
Line movement
Aarhus—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Egnatia Rrogozhinë—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Aarhus result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and What's at stake (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.32What's at stake (home)0.00Attacking xG form (away)0.66Home form (home)5.73Fixture congestion (away)0.00Defensive xG form (home)1.68
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.