Aarhus vs Viborg prediction
SuperligaRound 12
Aarhus18:00
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
ViborgMost likelyViborg win · 37%
Prediction
35%1Aarhus
28%XDraw
37%2Viborg
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Aarhus | Viborg |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Aarhus
- W3-0SON
- D2-2AH
- L0-2FN
- D2-2SIL
- L0-2FM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Viborg
- W2-0RF
- W4-1FN
- D1-1SIL
- L0-2LYN
- W3-2AH
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Aarhus
No reported absences.
Viborg
No reported absences.
Head to head
Aarhus 4Draws 2Viborg 1
- VIB 2-1 AAR
- AAR 6-2 VIB
- VIB 1-2 AAR
- AAR 5-2 VIB
- VIB 1-2 AAR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Aarhus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.55last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 8
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 16.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad1G 1A1 apps
- F. Tingager1G 0A1 apps
- J. Serra1G 0A1 apps
Viborg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.78last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.16last 9
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 12.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 0.9last 10
Line movement
Aarhus—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Viborg—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Viborg result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)8.60Attacking xG form (away)2.36Defensive xG form (home)1.68What's at stake (home)0.07Recent form (away)7.10What's at stake (away)0.16
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.