AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction
SuperligaRound 11
AC Horsens19:00
Fri 16 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Randers FCMost likelyRanders FC win · 37%
Best price2.47 Dafabet
Prediction
36%1AC Horsensmarket 34%
27%XDrawmarket 26%
37%2Randers FCmarket 40%
AC Horsens+1.9 ppDraw+1.2 ppRanders FC-3.1 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | AC Horsenspays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | Randers FCpays 6% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betvictor | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.47best |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 3.48 | 2.35 |
| Onexbet | 2.77 | 3.48 | 2.37 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83best | 3.60best | 2.39 |
| Sbo | 2.62 | 3.08 | 2.25 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Randers FC at 2.47 (Dafabet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
AC Horsens
- D3-3SIL
- D2-2AAR
- L0-2FC
- W5-2SON
- L2-3VIB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Randers FC
- L0-2VIB
- L2-4SON
- L1-2ODE
- W3-0BRO
- W2-1AAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
AC Horsens
No reported absences.
Randers FC
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
AC Horsens
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.38last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.65last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 16.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Randers FC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.64last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 10.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.4last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Line movement
AC Horsens—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Randers FC—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Randers FC result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (home)2.29Pi-rating edge0.24What's at stake (away)0.17Attacking xG form (home)2.26Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)65.1Goal drought (away)1.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.