AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske prediction
SuperligaRound 12
AC Horsens16:00
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
SonderjyskeMost likelyAC Horsens win · 39%
Prediction
39%1AC Horsens
30%XDraw
31%2Sonderjyske
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | AC Horsens | Sonderjyske |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
AC Horsens
- D3-3SIL
- D2-2AAR
- L0-2FC
- W5-2SON
- L2-3VIB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Sonderjyske
- L0-3AAR
- W4-2RF
- D1-1LYN
- L2-5AH
- L1-3FC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
AC Horsens
No reported absences.
Sonderjyske
No reported absences.
Head to head
AC Horsens 1Draws 0Sonderjyske 0
- SON 2-5 AH
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
AC Horsens
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.38last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.65last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 16.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Sonderjyske
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.76last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 13.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Line movement
AC Horsens—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Sonderjyske—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a AC Horsens result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.24Defensive xG form (away)2.05Rest-days edge-21.0Defensive xG form (home)2.29What's at stake (away)0.29Fixture congestion (away)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.