AC Milan vs Bologna prediction
Serie ARound 9
AC Milan18:30
Wed 28 Oct
Prediction T-24h
BolognaMost likelyAC Milan win · 48%
Prediction
48%1AC Milan
28%XDraw
24%2Bologna
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | AC Milan | Bologna |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
AC Milan
- D1-1SAS
- W3-0LEC
- D2-2LAZ
- D1-1JUV
- W2-0VEN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Bologna
- W2-1LEC
- D1-1TOR
- L0-1NAP
- D2-2SAS
- L0-1ATA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
AC Milan
No reported absences.
Bologna
No reported absences.
Head to head
AC Milan 3Draws 0Bologna 1
- BOL 0-3 AM
- AM 1-0 BOL
- AM 3-1 BOL
- BOL 2-1 AM
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
AC Milan
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.49last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.3last 10
- Shots
- 12.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 11.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Key players
- A. Rabiot1G 0A1 apps
- Luka Modrić0G 1A1 apps
Bologna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.23last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.02last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 12.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 12.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Line movement
AC Milan—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Bologna—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a AC Milan result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.43Defensive xG form (home)1.76League id135Recent form (home)5.48Attacking xG form (home)2.26What's at stake (home)0.16
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.