ADO Den Haag vs Excelsior prediction
EredivisieRound 15
ADO Den Haag16:45
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
ExcelsiorMost likelyADO Den Haag win · 42%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: ADO Den Haag win
Oddbert gives ADO Den Haag a 42% chance of winning.
42%ADO Den Haag
22%Draw
36%Excelsior
In 100 matches like this, ADO Den Haag would win about 42. In the other 58 or so, ADO Den Haag doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: ADO Den Haag win 42, Draw 22, Excelsior win 36.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
42%1ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag win
22%XDrawDraw
36%2ExcelsiorExcelsior win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for ADO Den Haag (42%), doesn't happen in about 58 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
ADO Den Haag
- W3-1SR
- L0-1PZ
- L2-3HEE
- W2-1PE
- D2-2TEL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Excelsior
- L0-1GAE
- L0-9TWE
- L0-1FS
- L0-4HEE
- L1-5GRO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
ADO Den Haag
Absence data is not available for this match.
Excelsior
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
ADO Den Haag
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.84last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 10
- Shots
- 13.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 14.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- E. Rottier2G 4A10 apps
- N. Thomas4G 1A7 apps
- Y. Eduardo2G 2A9 apps
Excelsior
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.99last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.95last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 9.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.9last 10
- Fouls
- 11.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Key players
- I. Yegoian2G 3A10 apps
- A. Sliti3G 1A10 apps
- D. Garden2G 0A9 apps
Line movement
ADO Den Haag—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Excelsior—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a ADO Den Haag result here; the model's main factors are Goal drought (away) and Recent form (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Goal drought (away)4.00Recent form (away)0.00Defensive xG form (away)2.46What's at stake (home)0.26Expected goals (away)1.33Away form (away)4.45
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.