ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
EredivisieRound 12
ADO Den Haag18:45
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
Sparta RotterdamMost likelySparta Rotterdam win · 40%
Prediction
32%1ADO Den Haag
28%XDraw
40%2Sparta Rotterdam
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
ADO Den Haag
- D2-2TEL
- D1-1CAM
- L0-2TWE
- L2-3FS
- D2-2FEY
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Sparta Rotterdam
- D3-3GAE
- L0-4HEE
- L1-4PE
- D2-2PZ
- L1-2EXC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
ADO Den Haag
No reported absences.
Sparta Rotterdam
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
ADO Den Haag
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.78last 7
- xG against / game
- 2.21last 7
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 11.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 10
- Fouls
- 14.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Sparta Rotterdam
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.61last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.10last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 9.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 9
Line movement
ADO Den Haag—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Sparta Rotterdam—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Sparta Rotterdam result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-57.3Defensive xG form (home)2.46What's at stake (home)0.14Away form (away)2.71Defensive xG form (away)1.85Attacking xG form (away)1.65
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.