Andorra vs Gibraltar prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League D - 5Estadi de la FAF
Andorra20:45
Fri 13 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
GibraltarMost likelyAndorra win · 50%
Best price1.91 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Andorra win
Oddbert gives Andorra a 50% chance of winning.
50%Andorra
30%Draw
20%Gibraltar
In 100 matches like this, Andorra would win about 50. In the other 50 or so, Andorra doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Andorra win 50, Draw 30, Gibraltar win 20.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
50%1AndorraAndorra winmarket 51%
30%XDrawDrawmarket 31%
20%2GibraltarGibraltar winmarket 18%
Our model vs market
Andorra -1.5 ppDraw -1.0 ppGibraltar +2.5 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 10 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Andorra meet Gibraltar. Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Andorra; the model's main factors are International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Andorrapays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | Gibraltarpays 4% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.91best | 2.95 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.08best | 5.20best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Andorra at 1.91 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Andorra
- L0-1MAL
- L0-3LIT
- D0-0GIB
- L1-2MAL
- L0-3KOS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Gibraltar
- W2-0LIE
- D1-1MAL
- D0-0AND
- D0-0STA
- W4-1CI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Andorra
Absence data is not available for this match.
Gibraltar
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Andorra 0Draws 2Gibraltar 2
- GIB 0-0 AND
- GIB 1-0 AND
- GIB 1-0 AND
- AND 0-0 GIB
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Andorra
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 1 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Key players
Player data from 4 of 10 matches
- Guillaume Lopez1G 0A3 apps
Gibraltar
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- James Scanlon1G 1A6 apps
- Liam Jessop1G 0A1 app
Weather
- Temperature
- 9°C
- Conditions
- Rain
- Wind
- 3 km/h
Weather data from OpenWeather, used under the Open Database License (ODbL).
Venue
- Venue
- Estadi de la FAF, Andorra
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 3,306
Line movement
Andorra—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Gibraltar—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Andorra; the model's main factors are International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (home)1075Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.