Arsenal W vs London City Lionesses W prediction
FA WSLWomenRound 10Emirates Stadium
Arsenal W18:30
Sat 14 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
London City Lionesses WMost likelyArsenal W win · 55%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Arsenal W win
Oddbert gives Arsenal W a 55% chance of winning.
55%Arsenal W
24%Draw
21%London City Lionesses W
In 100 matches like this, Arsenal W would win about 55. In the other 45 or so, Arsenal W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Arsenal W win 55, Draw 24, London City Lionesses W win 21.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
55%1Arsenal WArsenal W win
24%XDrawDraw
21%2London City Lionesses WLondon City Lionesses W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Arsenal W (55%), doesn't happen in about 45 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Arsenal W
- W2-1LW
- D1-1AVW
- W3-0SBW
- W2-1THW
- D1-1BCW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
London City Lionesses W
- W4-1BCW
- L1-2MCW
- D2-2LW
- W2-1EW
- W6-1THW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Arsenal W
Absence data is not available for this match.
London City Lionesses W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Arsenal W 2Draws 0London City Lionesses W 0
- LCL 0-2 AW
- AW 4-1 LCL
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Arsenal W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.57last 5
- xG against / game
- 0.61last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 8.5last 10
- Shots
- 20.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.4last 10
- Fouls
- 7.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 0.7last 10
Key players
Player data from 7 of 10 matches
- A. Russo5G 1A7 apps
- G. Stanway1G 1A7 apps
- L. Baum1G 1A7 apps
London City Lionesses W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.90last 5
- xG against / game
- 0.95last 5
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 9
- Shots
- 17.2last 9
- Shots on target
- 6.3last 9
- Fouls
- 11.1last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- K. Diani4G 3A8 apps
- D. van de Donk3G 4A9 apps
- D. Cascarino3G 2A7 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Emirates Stadium, London
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 60,383
Line movement
Arsenal W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
London City Lionesses W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Arsenal W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.86Expected goals (away)1.06Goal correlation-0.06
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.