Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction
Premier LeagueRound 9Villa Park
Aston Villa21:00
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FulhamMost likelyAston Villa win · 49%
Prediction
49%1Aston Villa
27%XDraw
24%2Fulham
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Aston Villa | Fulham |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Aston Villa
- D2-2BRE
- W3-2TOT
- L1-2NF
- W3-2CBK
- D0-0HC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Fulham
- L1-2IPS
- D1-1MU
- D0-0LIV
- L2-3CP
- L0-1SUN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Aston Villa
No reported absences.
Fulham
No reported absences.
Head to head
Aston Villa 3Draws 0Fulham 1
- FUL 1-0 AV
- AV 3-1 FUL
- AV 1-0 FUL
- FUL 1-3 AV
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Aston Villa
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.67last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 13.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 10.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Fulham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.61last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Venue
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
Line movement
Aston Villa—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Fulham—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Aston Villa result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (away) and League id. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)1.66League id39.0Home advantage (team-tuned)88.5Recent form (away)1.48Fixture congestion (home)0.00Pi-rating edge0.51
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.