Athletic Club W vs Valencia W prediction
Primera División FemeninaRound 7
Athletic Club W16:30
Sat 17 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Valencia WMost likelyAthletic Club W win · 64%
Best price2.12 Onexbet
Prediction
64%1Athletic Club Wmarket 44%
20%XDrawmarket 30%
16%2Valencia Wmarket 26%
Our model vs market
Athletic Club W +20.8 ppDraw -10.3 ppValencia W -10.5 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Stale predictionPrediction as of 13 Oct 2026Predictions for this league are paused — this is the last one we made, not a live call.
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Athletic Club W | Draw | Valencia W |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.10best | 3.30 |
| Onexbet | 2.12best | 2.90 | 3.36best |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
This prediction is stale (paused league or not refreshed), so we size nothing on it.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Athletic Club W
- D2-2MCW
- W3-2AMW
- L0-1EW
- D2-2EW
- W1-0ELW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Valencia W
- L0-1RSW
- L1-2GTW
- L1-3RMW
- L1-2ELW
- L1-3MCW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Athletic Club W
No reported absences.
Valencia W
No reported absences.
Head to head
Athletic Club W 3Draws 1Valencia W 0
- VW 0-1 ACW
- ACW 1-1 VW
- ACW 2-0 VW
- VW 1-2 ACW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Athletic Club W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Valencia W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Line movement
Athletic Club W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Valencia W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Athletic Club W result here, shaped mainly by Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.88Expected goals (away)0.78Goal correlation0.08
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.