Atletico Madrid W vs FC Levante Badalona W prediction
Primera División FemeninaWomenRound 10
Atletico Madrid W3–0
FinalFinal
FC Levante Badalona WOddbert's view
This call was made before kick-off.
Most likely: Atletico Madrid W win
Oddbert gives Atletico Madrid W a 79% chance of winning.
79%Atletico Madrid W
14%Draw
7%FC Levante Badalona W
In 100 matches like this, Atletico Madrid W would win about 79. In the other 21 or so, Atletico Madrid W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Atletico Madrid W win 79, Draw 14, FC Levante Badalona W win 7.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
79%1Atletico Madrid WAtletico Madrid W winmarket 80%
14%XDrawDrawmarket 13%
7%2FC Levante Badalona WFC Levante Badalona W winmarket 7%
Our model vs market
Atletico Madrid W -0.8 ppDraw +0.3 ppFC Levante Badalona W +0.5 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 10 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 09 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Atletico Madrid Wpays 1% more than the typical book | Drawpays 9% more than the typical book | FC Levante Badalona Wpays 20% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.22best | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 5.50 | 10.25 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 6.00 | 12.00best |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 6.00best | 10.75 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Verdict
Oddbert gave Atletico Madrid W 79% — the match ended 3–0.
The most likely result happened.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Atletico Madrid W
- D1-1GRA
- W4-0VW
- W4-0MCW
- W2-1DDL
- L2-3ACW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Levante Badalona W
- L0-4BW
- L0-1ELW
- L0-4GTW
- D3-3SW
- L0-1GRA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Atletico Madrid W
Absence data is not available for this match.
FC Levante Badalona W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Atletico Madrid W 4Draws 2FC Levante Badalona W 0
- FLB 2-4 AMW
- AMW 2-0 FLB
- AMW 5-0 FLB
- FLB 1-1 AMW
- AMW 3-1 FLB
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Atletico Madrid W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
FC Levante Badalona W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Referee profile
- Referee
- P. Cebollada
- Yellows / game
- —
- Matches officiated
- 0
Line movement
Atletico Madrid W80%
Fri 6 Nov – Mon 9 Nov+8.3 pp
Draw14%
Fri 6 Nov – Mon 9 Nov-3.9 pp
FC Levante Badalona W7%
Fri 6 Nov – Mon 9 Nov-4.4 pp
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Atletico Madrid W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)2.48Expected goals (away)0.80Goal correlation0.04
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.
Verdict
PredictedAtletico Madrid W
ActualAtletico Madrid W
RPS0.0250lower is better
CLV—
Words explained: