Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction
Ligue 1Round 10Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Auxerre17:15
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
Paris FCMost likelyParis FC win · 38%
Prediction
35%1Auxerre
27%XDraw
38%2Paris FC
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Auxerre
- L1-4REN
- W2-1SB2
- W1-0NIC
- L1-3LYO
- L1-3ANG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Paris FC
- L0-1LOR
- W2-1STR
- D0-0LYO
- W3-2MAR
- W3-0NIC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Auxerre
No reported absences.
Paris FC
No reported absences.
Head to head
Auxerre 0Draws 2Paris FC 0
- AUX 0-0 PF
- PF 1-1 AUX
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Auxerre
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.98last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.4last 10
- Shots
- 11.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 14.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Paris FC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.68last 9
- xG against / game
- 0.96last 9
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 12.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Line movement
Auxerre—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Paris FC—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Paris FC result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-6.48Attacking xG form (away)2.89Defensive xG form (home)1.61What's at stake (away)0.08Pi-rating edge-0.24Home form (home)8.92
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.