Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
BundesligaRound 8
Bayer Leverkusen15:30
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
VfB StuttgartMost likelyBayer Leverkusen win · 42%
Prediction
42%1Bayer Leverkusen
29%XDraw
29%2VfB Stuttgart
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Bayer Leverkusen | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Bayer Leverkusen
- W4-3FM0
- W2-0RL
- D2-2FA
- W4-0UB
- L2-3SE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
VfB Stuttgart
- W2-0SP0
- L0-1BD
- L1-21H
- W3-1VIK
- W4-11FK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Bayer Leverkusen
No reported absences.
VfB Stuttgart
No reported absences.
Head to head
Bayer Leverkusen 1Draws 1VfB Stuttgart 2
- VS 3-1 BL
- BL 1-4 VS
- VS 3-4 BL
- BL 0-0 VS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.50last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.70last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.7last 10
- Shots
- 20.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.7last 10
- Fouls
- 9.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
VfB Stuttgart
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.94last 9
- xG against / game
- 2.16last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.7last 10
- Shots
- 16.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Line movement
Bayer Leverkusen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
VfB Stuttgart—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Bayer Leverkusen result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (away) and Fixture congestion (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)3.02Fixture congestion (home)0.00Pi-rating edge0.34Attacking xG form (home)2.32Home form (home)9.04Recent form (home)7.56
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.