Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 3
Beşiktaş21:00
Thu 22 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Crystal PalaceMost likelyBeşiktaş win · 38%
Prediction
38%1Beşiktaş
29%XDraw
33%2Crystal Palace
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Beşiktaş
- W4-1MAR
- L0-1K
- W3-0K
- W1-0HK
- W1-0HK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Crystal Palace
- W3-1NF
- D0-0LEE
- W4-0LP
- L2-3IPS
- W3-2FUL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Beşiktaş
No reported absences.
Crystal Palace
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Beşiktaş
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.6last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 7
- Shots
- 14.0last 4
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 7
- Fouls
- 8.7last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 9
Crystal Palace
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.55last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.91last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 10
- Shots
- 11.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 9
Line movement
Beşiktaş—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Crystal Palace—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Beşiktaş result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Fixture congestion (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)3.06Fixture congestion (home)0.00Attacking xG form (away)2.57What's at stake (away)0.00Home form (home)10.3Rest-days edge23.8
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.