Beşiktaş vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Beşiktaş18:45
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Hapoel Beer ShevaMost likelyBeşiktaş win · 77%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Beşiktaş win
Oddbert gives Beşiktaş a 77% chance of winning.
77%Beşiktaş
12%Draw
11%Hapoel Beer Sheva
In 100 matches like this, Beşiktaş would win about 77. In the other 23 or so, Beşiktaş doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Beşiktaş win 77, Draw 12, Hapoel Beer Sheva win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
77%1BeşiktaşBeşiktaş win
12%XDrawDraw
11%2Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Beşiktaş meet Hapoel Beer Sheva. The model leans toward Beşiktaş, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Expected goals (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Beşiktaş (77%), doesn't happen in about 23 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Beşiktaş
- L2-3CEL
- D2-2CP
- W3-21H
- W4-1MAR
- L0-1K
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- L0-2OFI
- L0-4USG
- L1-2AA
- D0-0DZ
- L2-5SF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Beşiktaş
Absence data is not available for this match.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Beşiktaş
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.92last 3
- xG against / game
- 0.93last 3
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 7
- Shots
- 14.2last 4
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 7
- Fouls
- 8.4last 7
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Key players
Player data from 4 of 10 matches
- J. Olaitan2G 3A4 apps
- Oh Hyeon-Gyu2G 1A4 apps
- O. Kökçü1G 2A3 apps
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.08last 3
- xG against / game
- 2.00last 3
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.3last 10
- Shots
- 11.2last 9
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- I. Zlatanović2G 0A6 apps
- G. Mizrahi1G 0A6 apps
- J. East1G 0A6 apps
Line movement
Beşiktaş—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Hapoel Beer Sheva—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Beşiktaş, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Expected goals (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)4.95Expected goals (home)3.04Pi-rating edge0.31What's at stake (away)0.00Attacking xG form (home)2.87What's at stake (home)0.15
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.