Blackburn vs Norwich prediction
ChampionshipRound 20
Blackburn20:45
Tue 8 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
NorwichMost likelyNorwich win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Norwich win
Oddbert gives Norwich a 49% chance of winning.
31%Blackburn
20%Draw
49%Norwich
In 100 matches like this, Norwich would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Norwich doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Blackburn win 31, Draw 20, Norwich win 49.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
31%1BlackburnBlackburn win
20%XDrawDraw
49%2NorwichNorwich win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Norwich (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Blackburn
- W2-1WH
- L1-2SC
- L0-4SWA
- W2-0WRE
- L2-3WB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Norwich
- W5-0BC
- W4-0DER
- W3-2WAT
- W3-1CHA
- L0-1POR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Blackburn
Absence data is not available for this match.
Norwich
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Blackburn 0Draws 2Norwich 2
- NOR 2-0 BLA
- BLA 0-2 NOR
- BLA 1-1 NOR
- NOR 2-2 BLA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Blackburn
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.70last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- A. Guðjohnsen8G 0A9 apps
- O. Afolayan5G 1A10 apps
- Kristi Montgomery1G 1A9 apps
Norwich
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.33last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.52last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- P. Maghoma4G 2A9 apps
- M. Kvistgaarden2G 4A8 apps
- J. Makama3G 0A10 apps
Line movement
Blackburn—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Norwich—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Norwich result here; the model's main factors are Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Attacking xG form (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-72.8Attacking xG form (away)1.61Attacking xG form (home)1.11What's at stake (away)0.11Pi-rating edge-0.24Expected goals (home)1.31
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.