Blackburn vs Wrexham prediction
ChampionshipRound 12
Blackburn16:00
Sat 24 Oct
Prediction T-24h
WrexhamMost likelyWrexham win · 42%
Prediction
31%1Blackburn
27%XDraw
42%2Wrexham
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Blackburn | Wrexham |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Blackburn
- W2-1CAR
- D2-2POR
- W3-1MIL
- L1-2SU
- L1-2PRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Wrexham
- D1-1DER
- W2-1SOU
- L0-6WH
- D1-1BUR
- D0-0SWA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Blackburn
No reported absences.
Wrexham
No reported absences.
Head to head
Blackburn 0Draws 1Wrexham 1
- BLA 0-2 WRE
- WRE 1-1 BLA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Blackburn
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.58last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.8last 10
- Shots
- 12.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Wrexham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.16last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.3last 10
- Shots
- 12.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 10.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Line movement
Blackburn—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Wrexham—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Wrexham result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Home advantage (team-tuned). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-45.7Home advantage (team-tuned)19.7Pi-rating edge-0.13What's at stake (home)0.01What's at stake (away)0.10Home form (home)7.20
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.