Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 2Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt21:00
Wed 14 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Borussia DortmundMost likelyBorussia Dortmund win · 44%
Best price2.14 Onexbet
Prediction
32%1Bodo/Glimtmarket 30%
24%XDrawmarket 23%
44%2Borussia Dortmundmarket 47%
Bodo/Glimt+2.1 ppDraw+0.9 ppBorussia Dortmund-3.0 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Bodo/Glimtpays 4% more than the typical book | Drawpays 5% more than the typical book | Borussia Dortmundpays 4% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 4.00 | 2.05 |
| Betvictor | 3.13 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 4.00 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.08 |
| Onexbet | 3.28best | 4.11 | 2.14best |
| Pinnacle | 3.25 | 4.20best | 2.05 |
| Sbo | 2.83 | 3.56 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Borussia Dortmund at 2.14 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Bodo/Glimt
- L0-5BM
- W3-0NN
- W3-1NN
- W3-2USG
- D3-3USG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Borussia Dortmund
- D2-2WB
- W1-0VS
- W3-0SP0
- W3-2VIL
- W3-21H
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Bodo/Glimt
No reported absences.
Borussia Dortmund
No reported absences.
Head to head
Bodo/Glimt 0Draws 1Borussia Dortmund 0
- BD 2-2 BOD
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Bodo/Glimt
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 5
- xG against / game
- 2.08last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 10 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.2last 10
- Shots
- 10.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.2last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Borussia Dortmund
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.04last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.07last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 9
Venue
- Venue
- Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata
Line movement
Bodo/Glimt—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Borussia Dortmund—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Borussia Dortmund result here, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and Attacking xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (home)0.36Attacking xG form (home)5.15Defensive xG form (home)5.90Rest-days edge29.0Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)155Pi-rating edge-0.25
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.