Bodo/Glimt vs Lille prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 4
Bodo/Glimt21:00
Tue 3 Nov
Prediction T-24h
LilleMost likelyBodo/Glimt win · 62%
Prediction
62%1Bodo/Glimt
23%XDraw
15%2Lille
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Bodo/Glimt
- L0-5BM
- W3-0NN
- W3-1NN
- W3-2USG
- D3-3USG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lille
- L0-3ARS
- W1-0LH
- L1-2NIC
- W2-0ET
- L2-3RB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Bodo/Glimt
No reported absences.
Lille
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Bodo/Glimt
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 5
- xG against / game
- 2.08last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 10 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.2last 10
- Shots
- 10.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.2last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Lille
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.16last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.9last 10
- Shots
- 9.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Line movement
Bodo/Glimt—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lille—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Bodo/Glimt result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)298Defensive xG form (home)5.90Attacking xG form (home)5.15Fixture congestion (home)0.00What's at stake (away)0.00What's at stake (home)0.34
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.