Bologna vs Inter prediction
Serie ARound 7
Bologna18:00
Sat 17 Oct
Prediction T-24h
InterMost likelyInter win · 59%
Best price1.69 Onexbet
Prediction
19%1Bolognamarket 17%
22%XDrawmarket 22%
59%2Intermarket 61%
Bologna+2.2 ppDraw-0.5 ppInter-1.7 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Bolognapays 7% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | Interpays 6% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 5.60 | 4.05 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| Betvictor | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.20best | 1.60 |
| Marathonbet | 5.40 | 4.00 | 1.64 |
| Onexbet | 5.55 | 4.12 | 1.69best |
| Pinnacle | 5.78best | 4.04 | 1.62 |
| Sbo | 4.76 | 3.82 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Inter at 1.69 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Bologna
- W2-1LEC
- D1-1TOR
- L0-1NAP
- D2-2SAS
- L0-1ATA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Inter
- W3-0PAR
- D2-2AR
- W5-3UDI
- L1-2RM
- W3-2NAP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Bologna
No reported absences.
Inter
No reported absences.
Head to head
Bologna 1Draws 2Inter 1
- BOL 3-3 INT
- INT 3-1 BOL
- BOL 1-0 INT
- INT 2-2 BOL
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Bologna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.23last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.02last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 12.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 12.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Inter
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.02last 4
- xG against / game
- 0.93last 4
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 19.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.6last 10
- Fouls
- 8.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Line movement
Bologna—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Inter—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Inter result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-1.00Defensive xG form (away)5.39Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-254Attacking xG form (away)8.18Home advantage (team-tuned)3.96League id135
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.