Bologna vs Udinese prediction
Serie ARound 12
Bologna18:00
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
UdineseMost likelyBologna win · 52%
Best price1.80 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Bologna win
Oddbert gives Bologna a 52% chance of winning.
52%Bologna
26%Draw
22%Udinese
In 100 matches like this, Bologna would win about 52. In the other 48 or so, Bologna doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Bologna win 52, Draw 26, Udinese win 22.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
52%1BolognaBologna winmarket 55%
26%XDrawDrawmarket 25%
22%2UdineseUdinese winmarket 20%
Our model vs market
Bologna -3.0 ppDraw +0.2 ppUdinese +2.8 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 7 books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Bologna meet Udinese. The model leans toward Bologna, shaped mainly by Recent form (home) and Expected goals (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Bolognapays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 6% more than the typical book | Udinesepays 3% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.75best |
| Betano | 1.80best | 3.65 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.86best | 4.65 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Bologna at 1.80 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Bologna (52%), doesn't happen in about 48 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Bologna
- W2-1PAR
- W2-1MON
- W4-2AM
- W2-0CAG
- L1-3INT
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Udinese
- L1-2VEN
- L2-5AR
- D0-0PAR
- L0-2AM
- L0-3LEC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Bologna
Absence data is not available for this match.
Udinese
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Bologna 2Draws 2Udinese 0
- BOL 1-0 UDI
- UDI 0-3 BOL
- UDI 0-0 BOL
- BOL 1-1 UDI
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Bologna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.60last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.42last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 12.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Juan Miranda0G 5A9 apps
- F. Bernardeschi3G 0A10 apps
- S. Mbangula3G 0A6 apps
Udinese
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.22last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- J. Ekkelenkamp3G 0A10 apps
- H. Kamara1G 2A10 apps
- K. Davis0G 2A10 apps
Line movement
Bologna—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Udinese—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Bologna, shaped mainly by Recent form (home) and Expected goals (home). See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Recent form (home)8.40Expected goals (home)1.74Recent form (away)0.58Away form (away)2.67Defensive xG form (home)1.77Pi-rating edge0.43
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.