Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
BundesligaRound 7
Borussia Dortmund18:30
Sat 24 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Eintracht FrankfurtMost likelyBorussia Dortmund win · 69%
Best price1.38 Onexbet
Prediction
69%1Borussia Dortmundmarket 72%
19%XDrawmarket 16%
12%2Eintracht Frankfurtmarket 12%
Borussia Dortmund-3.0 ppDraw+2.9 ppEintracht Frankfurt+0.1 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Borussia Dortmundpays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 8% more than the typical book | Eintracht Frankfurtpays 7% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 5.40 | 7.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 5.75 | 7.50 |
| Onexbet | 1.38best | 5.94best | 8.00best |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Borussia Dortmund at 1.38 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Borussia Dortmund
- D2-2WB
- W1-0VS
- W3-0SP0
- W3-2VIL
- W3-21H
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Eintracht Frankfurt
- L0-6RL
- D2-2SF
- W3-1FM0
- L1-4FA
- D3-3UB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Borussia Dortmund
No reported absences.
Eintracht Frankfurt
No reported absences.
Head to head
Borussia Dortmund 2Draws 1Eintracht Frankfurt 1
- BD 3-2 EF
- EF 3-3 BD
- EF 2-0 BD
- BD 2-0 EF
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Borussia Dortmund
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.04last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.07last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 9
Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.02last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.3last 10
- Shots
- 14.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Line movement
Borussia Dortmund—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Eintracht Frankfurt—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Borussia Dortmund result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)369Pi-rating edge1.12Attacking xG form (away)1.89League id78.0Attacking xG form (home)2.07Defensive xG form (away)2.46
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.