Borussia Dortmund vs Inter prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 6
Borussia Dortmund21:00
Wed 9 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
InterMost likelyBorussia Dortmund win · 44%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Borussia Dortmund win
Oddbert gives Borussia Dortmund a 44% chance of winning.
44%Borussia Dortmund
23%Draw
33%Inter
In 100 matches like this, Borussia Dortmund would win about 44. In the other 56 or so, Borussia Dortmund doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Borussia Dortmund win 44, Draw 23, Inter win 33.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
44%1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund win
23%XDrawDraw
33%2InterInter win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Borussia Dortmund meet Inter. The model leans only slightly toward Borussia Dortmund in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Recent form (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Borussia Dortmund (44%), doesn't happen in about 56 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Borussia Dortmund
- W2-1SE
- W2-1RB
- D2-2BM
- W1-0EF
- W2-1SF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Inter
- W2-0COM
- W3-0FEY
- L1-3AM
- W2-0VEN
- W2-1FIO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Borussia Dortmund
Absence data is not available for this match.
Inter
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Borussia Dortmund 0Draws 0Inter 1
- BD 0-2 INT
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Borussia Dortmund
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.79last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.32last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 15.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- Fábio Silva3G 3A10 apps
- F. Nmecha4G 0A10 apps
- S. Guirassy3G 1A9 apps
Inter
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.40last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.16last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 10
- Shots
- 18.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.7last 10
- Fouls
- 10.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- M. Thuram4G 1A10 apps
- L. Martinez4G 0A3 apps
- P. Zieliński2G 1A9 apps
Line movement
Borussia Dortmund—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Inter—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Borussia Dortmund in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Recent form (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.12Recent form (home)8.94Home advantage (team-tuned)106What's at stake (away)0.00What's at stake (home)0.03Expected goals (away)1.47
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.