Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction
BundesligaRound 9
Borussia Dortmund15:30
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
SV ElversbergMost likelyBorussia Dortmund win · 73%
Prediction
73%1Borussia Dortmund
18%XDraw
9%2SV Elversberg
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Borussia Dortmund
- D2-2WB
- W1-0VS
- W3-0SP0
- W3-2VIL
- W3-21H
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
SV Elversberg
- L0-1UB
- D0-0FS0
- L1-2BM
- W4-3BM
- W3-2BL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Borussia Dortmund
No reported absences.
SV Elversberg
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Borussia Dortmund
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.04last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.07last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 9
SV Elversberg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 7
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 7
- xG for / game
- 1.16last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.93last 5
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- BTTS
- 5 / 7
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 7
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 7
- Shots
- 9.9last 7
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 7
- Fouls
- 11.1last 7
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 7
Line movement
Borussia Dortmund—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
SV Elversberg—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Borussia Dortmund result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)421Pi-rating edge0.99Attacking xG form (home)2.07Fixture congestion (home)0.00League id78.0Home form (home)9.14
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.