Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League B - 6
Bosnia & Herzegovina20:45
Tue 17 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
RomaniaMost likelyBosnia & Herzegovina win · 56%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Bosnia & Herzegovina win
Oddbert gives Bosnia & Herzegovina a 56% chance of winning.
56%Bosnia & Herzegovina
24%Draw
20%Romania
In 100 matches like this, Bosnia & Herzegovina would win about 56. In the other 44 or so, Bosnia & Herzegovina doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Bosnia & Herzegovina win 56, Draw 24, Romania win 20.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
56%1Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina winmarket 55%
24%XDrawDrawmarket 24%
20%2RomaniaRomania winmarket 21%
Our model vs market
Bosnia & Herzegovina +0.9 ppDraw -0.4 ppRomania -0.4 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 book's price) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Bosnia & Herzegovina (56%), doesn't happen in about 44 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Bosnia & Herzegovina
- W1-0POL
- D1-1SWE
- W4-2ROM
- D0-0POL
- L0-2USA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Romania
- L0-1SWE
- L0-6POL
- L2-4BH
- L1-2SWE
- W2-1WAL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Absence data is not available for this match.
Romania
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Bosnia & Herzegovina 4Draws 0Romania 1
- ROM 2-4 BH
- BH 3-1 ROM
- ROM 0-1 BH
- ROM 4-1 BH
- BH 1-0 ROM
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- Ermin Mahmic3G 0A7 apps
- Ivan Bašić1G 2A7 apps
- Kerim-Sam Alajbegović2G 0A7 apps
Romania
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- D. Man2G 0A6 apps
- D. Bîrligea2G 0A5 apps
- A. Rațiu1G 1A6 apps
Line movement
Bosnia & Herzegovina—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Romania—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Bosnia & Herzegovina result here; the model's main factors are Elo difference and Home advantage (Elo points). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference162Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.