Brann vs Aarhus prediction
UEFA Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 4
Brann18:45
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
AarhusMost likelyBrann win · 56%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Brann win
Oddbert gives Brann a 56% chance of winning.
56%Brann
21%Draw
23%Aarhus
In 100 matches like this, Brann would win about 56. In the other 44 or so, Brann doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Brann win 56, Draw 21, Aarhus win 23.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
56%1BrannBrann win
21%XDrawDraw
23%2AarhusAarhus win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Brann (56%), doesn't happen in about 44 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Brann
- D1-1ST
- W4-1K
- W2-1LRI
- W3-2PAO
- D1-1PAO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Aarhus
- W2-0AH
- D0-0SB
- L0-2BRO
- W2-1VIB
- D1-1ER
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Brann
Absence data is not available for this match.
Aarhus
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Brann
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.36last 4
- xG against / game
- 0.97last 4
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.1last 8
- Shots
- 11.6last 5
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 8
- Fouls
- 11.0last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 8
Key players
Player data from 5 of 10 matches
- Niklas Castro3G 0A3 apps
- Noah Jean Holm2G 0A4 apps
- Joachim Soltvedt0G 2A5 apps
Aarhus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.69last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.1last 10
- Fouls
- 9.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- J. Andersen1G 2A10 apps
- Janni Serra2G 0A5 apps
- Kristian Arnstad1G 1A9 apps
Line movement
Brann—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Aarhus—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Brann result here; the model's main factors are Rest-days edge and What's at stake (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge2.71What's at stake (away)0.00Expected goals (home)2.69Pi-rating edge0.05What's at stake (home)0.15Expected goals (away)0.39
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.