Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC prediction
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 1
Brann21:00
Thu 15 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Lincoln Red Imps FCMost likelyBrann win · 82%
Best price1.19 Betano
Prediction
82%1Brannmarket 85%
13%XDrawmarket 10%
5%2Lincoln Red Imps FCmarket 5%
Brann-3.4 ppDraw+2.7 ppLincoln Red Imps FC+0.7 pp
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 sharp book) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Brannpays 3% more than the typical book | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps FCpays 3% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.19best | 8.00 | 15.50 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 8.00best | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 7.50 | 16.00best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Brann at 1.19 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Brann
- W3-2PAO
- D1-1PAO
- W4-2AL
- L0-1AL
- W3-1UC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lincoln Red Imps FC
- W3-0LAR
- L0-2LAR
- L0-1ON
- D1-1ON
- D0-0MA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Brann
No reported absences.
Lincoln Red Imps FC
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Brann
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.66last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.22last 4
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 8
- Shots
- 11.4last 5
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 8
- Fouls
- 10.4last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 8
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.57last 2
- xG against / game
- 2.71last 2
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 9
- Shots
- 8.3last 6
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 9
- Fouls
- 12.8last 5
- Yellow cards
- 2.7last 9
Referee profile
- Referee
- D. Cerny
- Yellows / game
- 3.3
- Matches officiated
- 3
Line movement
Brann—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lincoln Red Imps FC—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Brann result here, shaped mainly by Recent form (home) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Recent form (home)6.88Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)121Pi-rating edge0.55Rest-days edge0.08Defensive xG form (home)2.59Fixture congestion (home)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.