Brentford vs Everton prediction
Premier LeagueRound 11
Brentford21:00
Mon 23 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
EvertonMost likelyBrentford win · 49%
Best price1.90 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Brentford win
Oddbert gives Brentford a 49% chance of winning.
49%Brentford
26%Draw
25%Everton
In 100 matches like this, Brentford would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Brentford doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Brentford win 49, Draw 26, Everton win 25.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
49%1BrentfordBrentford winmarket 52%
26%XDrawDrawmarket 25%
25%2EvertonEverton winmarket 23%
Our model vs market
Brentford -3.0 ppDraw +1.0 ppEverton +2.0 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 6 books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Brentford meet Everton. Our forecast (the market price with a small adjustment from our model) leans toward Brentford; the model's main factors are League id and What's at stake (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Brentfordpays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 5% more than the typical book | Evertonpays 2% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.90best | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.90best | 3.96best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Brentford at 1.90 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Brentford (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Brentford
- L0-2BRI
- W2-0NF
- D1-1HC
- L1-2LIV
- D2-2AV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Everton
- W3-1COV
- W1-0NEW
- L0-2ARS
- L0-2CHE
- D2-2HC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Brentford
Absence data is not available for this match.
Everton
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Brentford 1Draws 3Everton 0
- BRE 2-2 EVE
- EVE 2-4 BRE
- BRE 1-1 EVE
- EVE 0-0 BRE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Brentford
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.51last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.9last 10
- Shots
- 13.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 10
- Fouls
- 12.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- Thiago2G 2A10 apps
- K. Schade3G 0A10 apps
- K. Lewis-Potter2G 1A10 apps
Everton
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.46last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.6last 10
- Shots
- 14.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 8.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- T. Barry6G 1A10 apps
- K. Dewsbury-Hall3G 1A10 apps
- J. Tarkowski1G 1A10 apps
Line movement
Brentford—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Everton—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast (the market price with a small adjustment from our model) leans toward Brentford; the model's main factors are League id and What's at stake (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
League id39.0What's at stake (away)0.04Defensive xG form (away)1.55Attacking xG form (home)1.05Recent form (home)3.34Defensive xG form (home)1.68
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.