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Brommapojkarna W vs Rosengård W prediction

DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskanWomen·Round 26·Grimsta IP
Brommapojkarna WBrommapojkarna W
14:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Rosengård WRosengård W

Most likelyRosengård W win · 46%

PredictionOddsContextMovementDetails

Oddbert's view

Most likely: Rosengård W win

Oddbert gives Rosengård W a 46% chance of winning.

29%Brommapojkarna W
25%Draw
46%Rosengård W

In 100 matches like this, Rosengård W would win about 46. In the other 54 or so, Rosengård W doesn't win.

Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Brommapojkarna W win 29, Draw 25, Rosengård W win 46.

  • Brommapojkarna W win29
  • Draw25
  • Rosengård W win46

Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.

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Prediction

29%1Brommapojkarna WBrommapojkarna W winmarket 27%
25%XDrawDrawmarket 25%
46%2Rosengård WRosengård W winmarket 48%

Our model vs market

Brommapojkarna W +2.6 ppDraw -0.3 ppRosengård W -2.2 pp

Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.

Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 book's price) + model lean (max ±15 pp)

These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes

Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026

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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds

Odds include the bookmaker's margin.

Words explained:

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet

We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).

Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.

Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.

Stake sizer

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.

Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.

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Even the most likely result, a win for Rosengård W (46%), doesn't happen in about 54 of 100 matches like this.

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  • Odds are hidden.

Match context

Strength-adjusted form

Brommapojkarna W

  1. L=4-5VW
  2. L=2-5AW
  3. L↓1-2EUW
  4. W↓2-1VW
  5. L↑0-2HW

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Rosengård W

  1. L↑0-2HW
  2. D↓1-1VW
  3. L=0-2AW
  4. W↑2-0VW
  5. L↑0-1MFW

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Injuries & absences

Brommapojkarna W

Absence data is not available for this match.

Rosengård W

Absence data is not available for this match.

Head to head

Brommapojkarna W 3Draws 0Rosengård W 4
  • RW 1-2 BW
  • RW 2-5 BW
  • BW 2-1 RW
  • RW 3-0 BW
  • BW 0-7 RW

Recent form

Recent form — context only, not a tip.

Brommapojkarna W

Goals

Scored / game
1.8last 10
Conceded / game
1.7last 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
BTTS
6 / 10
Over 2.5
5 / 10

Match stats

Corners
5.2last 9
Shots
11.2last 9
Shots on target
6.0last 9
Fouls
—last 0
Yellow cards
0.6last 9

Rosengård W

Goals

Scored / game
0.7last 10
Conceded / game
0.9last 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
BTTS
2 / 10
Over 2.5
1 / 10

Match stats

Corners
5.9last 10
Shots
8.4last 10
Shots on target
3.1last 10
Fouls
—last 0
Yellow cards
0.8last 10

Venue

Venue
Grimsta IP, Stockholm
Surface
Artificial turf
Capacity
7,350

Line movement

Brommapojkarna W—

No line movement recorded yet

Draw—

No line movement recorded yet

Rosengård W—

No line movement recorded yet

Under the hood

How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.

Why this prediction

ExplanationSummary

Our forecast favours a Rosengård W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.

Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.

How we make these predictions
Top model factors
Expected goals (home)1.4254%Expected goals (away)1.1846%Goal correlation0.120%

This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.