Brondby vs Aarhus prediction
SuperligaRound 13
Brondby18:00
Sun 1 Nov
Prediction T-24h
AarhusMost likelyBrondby win · 38%
Prediction
38%1Brondby
29%XDraw
33%2Aarhus
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Brondby | Aarhus |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Brondby
- W5-2LYN
- L0-1FC
- L1-4FM
- L0-3RF
- L1-3FN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Aarhus
- W3-0SON
- D2-2AH
- L0-2FN
- D2-2SIL
- L0-2FM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Brondby
No reported absences.
Aarhus
No reported absences.
Head to head
Brondby 2Draws 3Aarhus 4
- AAR 1-1 BRO
- BRO 0-2 AAR
- AAR 0-0 BRO
- BRO 3-3 AAR
- AAR 1-0 BRO
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Brondby
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.32last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.46last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 15.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Aarhus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.55last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 8
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 16.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad1G 1A1 apps
- F. Tingager1G 0A1 apps
- J. Serra1G 0A1 apps
Line movement
Brondby—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Aarhus—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Brondby result here, shaped mainly by Recent form (away) and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Recent form (away)1.52Attacking xG form (away)1.47Recent form (home)2.76Rest-days edge-21.0Pi-rating edge0.05What's at stake (home)0.06
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.