Brondby vs FC Midtjylland prediction
SuperligaRound 15
Brondby19:00
Mon 23 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FC MidtjyllandMost likelyFC Midtjylland win · 42%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: FC Midtjylland win
Oddbert gives FC Midtjylland a 42% chance of winning.
37%Brondby
21%Draw
42%FC Midtjylland
In 100 matches like this, FC Midtjylland would win about 42. In the other 58 or so, FC Midtjylland doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Brondby win 37, Draw 21, FC Midtjylland win 42.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
37%1BrondbyBrondby win
21%XDrawDraw
42%2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Brondby meet FC Midtjylland. The model leans only slightly toward FC Midtjylland in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for FC Midtjylland (42%), doesn't happen in about 58 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Brondby
- L0-1FC
- W2-0AAR
- W3-1RF
- L1-2ODE
- W5-2LYN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Midtjylland
- D2-2SON
- L1-6AJA
- W3-2FN
- W3-2LYN
- L0-1ST
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Brondby
Absence data is not available for this match.
FC Midtjylland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Brondby 4Draws 1FC Midtjylland 4
- FM 4-1 BRO
- FM 2-3 BRO
- BRO 1-2 FM
- FM 0-0 BRO
- BRO 1-3 FM
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Brondby
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.76last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.33last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 13.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 13.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- M. Frøkjær-Jensen3G 1A10 apps
- J. Ambæk3G 0A6 apps
- M. Ejdum2G 1A10 apps
FC Midtjylland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.79last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.68last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 11.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Key players
- Friday Etim4G 1A10 apps
- Gue-sung Cho3G 1A9 apps
- Philip Billing2G 2A9 apps
Line movement
Brondby—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Midtjylland—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward FC Midtjylland in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.39Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-90.9Attacking xG form (home)2.20Defensive xG form (away)2.11Defensive xG form (home)0.94What's at stake (home)0.14
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.