Burnley vs Preston prediction
ChampionshipRound 19Turf Moor
Burnley13:00
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
PrestonMost likelyBurnley win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Burnley win
Oddbert gives Burnley a 49% chance of winning.
49%Burnley
24%Draw
27%Preston
In 100 matches like this, Burnley would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Burnley doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Burnley win 49, Draw 24, Preston win 27.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
49%1BurnleyBurnley win
24%XDrawDraw
27%2PrestonPreston win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Burnley (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Burnley
- L4-5CAR
- D1-1QPR
- D0-0POR
- L1-4LIN
- L1-2WOL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Preston
- W1-0SOU
- L2-3SU
- L0-2SC
- D1-1WB
- L1-4WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Burnley
Absence data is not available for this match.
Preston
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Burnley 0Draws 2Preston 0
- PRE 0-0 BUR
- BUR 0-0 PRE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Burnley
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 9.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- L. Ramazani4G 1A10 apps
- Lucas Pires0G 5A10 apps
- Z. Amdouni3G 0A5 apps
Preston
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.77last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 11.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.3last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- C. Lang2G 0A10 apps
- J. Kenny2G 0A7 apps
- L. Leroy1G 1A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Turf Moor, Burnley
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 22,546
Line movement
Burnley—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Preston—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Burnley result here; the model's main factors are What's at stake (home) and Defensive xG form (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (home)0.14Defensive xG form (home)2.19What's at stake (away)0.13Recent form (home)1.44Expected goals (home)2.08Attacking xG form (away)0.97
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.