Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction
Serie ARound 11Unipol Domus
Cagliari15:00
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
FrosinoneMost likelyCagliari win · 47%
Prediction
47%1Cagliari
28%XDraw
25%2Frosinone
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Cagliari
- D1-1JUV
- W1-0UDI
- W2-1ATA
- W1-0LEC
- L0-1INT
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Frosinone
- L0-3NAP
- W2-0COM
- D1-1GEN
- W3-2VEN
- W3-0FIO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Cagliari
No reported absences.
Frosinone
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Cagliari
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.35last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.42last 9
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.1last 10
- Shots
- 12.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 9.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 9
Key players
- Daniel Maldini1G 0A1 apps
- P. Mendy0G 1A1 apps
Frosinone
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 6
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 6
- xG for / game
- 1.33last 5
- xG against / game
- 2.30last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- BTTS
- 2 / 6
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 6
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 6
- Shots
- 16.8last 6
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 6
- Fouls
- 16.5last 6
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 6
Venue
- Venue
- Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Line movement
Cagliari—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Frosinone—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Cagliari result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)2.89Attacking xG form (away)2.51What's at stake (home)0.02Defensive xG form (home)3.92Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)164League id135
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.