Cardiff vs Burnley prediction
ChampionshipRound 15
Cardiff16:00
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
BurnleyMost likelyCardiff win · 39%
Prediction
39%1Cardiff
28%XDraw
33%2Burnley
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Cardiff
- W5-1WAT
- L1-2BLA
- W3-1CHA
- L0-1BOL
- D1-1SC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Burnley
- D2-2CHA
- W4-0WAT
- D1-1DER
- L1-3SWA
- D1-1WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Cardiff
No reported absences.
Burnley
No reported absences.
Head to head
Cardiff 0Draws 0Burnley 2
- CAR 1-2 BUR
- BUR 5-0 CAR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Cardiff
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.92last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.43last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.5last 10
- Shots
- 18.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- J. Moylan2G 0A1 apps
- O. Tanner1G 0A1 apps
- C. Robinson1G 0A1 apps
Burnley
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.60last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.8last 10
- Shots
- 14.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- J. Bruun Larsen1G 0A1 apps
- L. Ramazani1G 0A1 apps
- Igor0G 1A1 apps
Line movement
Cardiff—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Burnley—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Cardiff result here, shaped mainly by Fixture congestion (home) and Attacking xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Fixture congestion (home)0.00Attacking xG form (home)2.42What's at stake (home)0.14Home advantage (team-tuned)20.4Recent form (home)4.97Home form (home)7.16
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.