Charlton Athletic W vs Aston Villa W prediction
FA WSLWomenRound 11The Valley
Charlton Athletic W15:00
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Aston Villa WMost likelyAston Villa W win · 77%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Aston Villa W win
Oddbert gives Aston Villa W a 77% chance of winning.
8%Charlton Athletic W
15%Draw
77%Aston Villa W
In 100 matches like this, Aston Villa W would win about 77. In the other 23 or so, Aston Villa W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Charlton Athletic W win 8, Draw 15, Aston Villa W win 77.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
8%1Charlton Athletic WCharlton Athletic W win
15%XDrawDraw
77%2Aston Villa WAston Villa W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Aston Villa W (77%), doesn't happen in about 23 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Charlton Athletic W
- L2-3CPW
- L0-6CW
- L0-1BCW
- L1-3MUW
- L1-5BW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Aston Villa W
- L0-1MUW
- D1-1AW
- W3-2EW
- W2-1LW
- D1-1CPW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Charlton Athletic W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Aston Villa W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Charlton Athletic W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.82last 4
- xG against / game
- 2.68last 4
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 9
- Shots
- 5.1last 9
- Shots on target
- 1.8last 9
- Fouls
- 9.0last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- L. Davidson2G 0A9 apps
- J. Hutton1G 1A9 apps
- E. N'Dow1G 0A8 apps
Aston Villa W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.81last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.63last 4
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 9
- Shots
- 6.8last 9
- Shots on target
- 3.0last 9
- Fouls
- 6.8last 9
- Yellow cards
- 0.8last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- A. Vangsgaard3G 1A9 apps
- N. Maritz2G 1A9 apps
- L. Wilms1G 1A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- The Valley, London
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 27,111
Line movement
Charlton Athletic W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Aston Villa W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Aston Villa W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)2.53Expected goals (home)0.70Goal correlation-0.06
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.