Charlton Athletic W vs Manchester United W prediction
FA WSLRound 6The Valley
Charlton Athletic W15:00
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Manchester United WMost likelyManchester United W win · 87%
Best price1.29 William Hill
Prediction
2%1Charlton Athletic Wmarket 8%
11%XDrawmarket 15%
87%2Manchester United Wmarket 77%
Our model vs market
Charlton Athletic W -5.9 ppDraw -4.4 ppManchester United W +10.3 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Stale predictionPrediction as of 13 Oct 2026Predictions for this league are paused — this is the last one we made, not a live call.
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Charlton Athletic Wpays 13% more than the typical book | Drawpays 13% more than the typical book | Manchester United Wpays 3% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 8.25 | 5.00 | 1.27 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 9.60best | 5.80best | 1.24 |
| Marathonbet | 8.50 | 5.15 | 1.24 |
| Onexbet | 8.95 | 5.15 | 1.25 |
| Pinnacle | 8.35 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 4.80 | 1.29best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
This prediction is stale (paused league or not refreshed), so we size nothing on it.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Charlton Athletic W
- L1-5BW
- L0-1MCW
- L1-4LCL
- L0-1EW
- L0-4LW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Manchester United W
- W1-0LW
- W2-1WHW
- D1-1AW
- L0-5CW
- L1-2LCL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Charlton Athletic W
No reported absences.
Manchester United W
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Charlton Athletic W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.3last 6
- Conceded / game
- 2.5last 6
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 6
- BTTS
- 2 / 6
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 6
Manchester United W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Venue
- Venue
- The Valley, London
Line movement
Charlton Athletic W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Manchester United W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Manchester United W result here, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)2.65Expected goals (home)0.30Goal correlation-0.05
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.