Charlton vs Norwich prediction
ChampionshipRound 12The Valley
Charlton13:30
Sat 24 Oct
Prediction T-24h
NorwichMost likelyNorwich win · 39%
Prediction
33%1Charlton
28%XDraw
39%2Norwich
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Charlton | Norwich |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Charlton
- D1-1BC
- L1-3CAR
- D0-0POR
- D0-0QPR
- L0-4SC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Norwich
- L1-2SWA
- L3-4BOL
- L3-4MID
- W2-1BIR
- W3-1SU
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Charlton
No reported absences.
Norwich
No reported absences.
Head to head
Charlton 0Draws 0Norwich 2
- CHA 0-1 NOR
- NOR 1-0 CHA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Charlton
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.88last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 10.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Norwich
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.59last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.65last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 14.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Venue
- Venue
- The Valley, London
Line movement
Charlton—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Norwich—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Norwich result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and What's at stake (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-45.8What's at stake (away)0.08League id40.0What's at stake (home)0.12Defensive xG form (home)1.56Defensive xG form (away)1.63
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.