Chelsea W vs Tottenham Hotspur W prediction
FA WSLRound 6Stamford Bridge
Chelsea W13:00
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Tottenham Hotspur WMost likelyChelsea W win · 76%
Best price1.26 Pinnacle
Prediction
76%1Chelsea Wmarket 78%
15%XDrawmarket 14%
9%2Tottenham Hotspur Wmarket 8%
Our model vs market
Chelsea W -2.7 ppDraw +1.4 ppTottenham Hotspur W +1.4 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Stale predictionPrediction as of 13 Oct 2026Predictions for this league are paused — this is the last one we made, not a live call.
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Chelsea Wpays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 18% more than the typical book | Tottenham Hotspur Wpays 11% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.50best | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 5.60 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
| Betvictor | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.21 | 6.40 | 10.00best |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Onexbet | 1.23 | 5.50 | 8.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26best | 5.87 | 9.03 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
This prediction is stale (paused league or not refreshed), so we size nothing on it.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Chelsea W
- W3-0WHW
- D0-0LW
- W1-0AW
- W1-0AWW
- W2-0BCW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Tottenham Hotspur W
- L1-6LCL
- W4-0AVW
- W7-0CPW
- D1-1LW
- W3-1WHW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Chelsea W
No reported absences.
Tottenham Hotspur W
No reported absences.
Head to head
Chelsea W 6Draws 0Tottenham Hotspur W 0
- THW 0-2 CW
- CW 1-0 THW
- THW 0-1 CW
- CW 5-2 THW
- THW 0-1 CW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Chelsea W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.3last 10
- Clean sheets
- 8 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Tottenham Hotspur W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Venue
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London
Line movement
Chelsea W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Tottenham Hotspur W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Chelsea W result here, shaped mainly by Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)2.71Expected goals (away)0.87Goal correlation-0.05
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.