Chicago Red Stars W vs Seattle Reign FC W prediction
NWSL WomenRound Group Stage
Chicago Red Stars W01:00
Mon 19 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Seattle Reign FC WMost likelySeattle Reign FC W win · 66%
Best price1.31 Betano
Prediction
14%1Chicago Red Stars Wmarket 8%
20%XDrawmarket 15%
66%2Seattle Reign FC Wmarket 77%
Our model vs market
Chicago Red Stars W +6.5 ppDraw +4.7 ppSeattle Reign FC W -11.2 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Stale predictionPrediction as of 13 Oct 2026Predictions for this league are paused — this is the last one we made, not a live call.
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Chicago Red Stars Wpays 9% more than the typical book | Drawpays 6% more than the typical book | Seattle Reign FC Wpays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 8.00 | 4.90 | 1.31best |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Betvictor | 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 8.40 | 5.10 | 1.24 |
| Onexbet | 8.90best | 5.10 | 1.25 |
| Pinnacle | 8.69 | 5.24best | 1.28 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 4.80 | 1.25 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
This prediction is stale (paused league or not refreshed), so we size nothing on it.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Chicago Red Stars W
- L0-3DSW
- L1-3NGF
- L0-3WSW
- D1-1PTW
- L0-6NCC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Seattle Reign FC W
- L0-1NCC
- W2-0BLW
- L1-2DSW
- L1-3ACW
- W2-0BFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Chicago Red Stars W
No reported absences.
Seattle Reign FC W
No reported absences.
Head to head
Chicago Red Stars W 2Draws 2Seattle Reign FC W 3
- SRF 1-0 CRS
- SRF 3-3 CRS
- CRS 2-2 SRF
- SRF 1-2 CRS
- CRS 2-1 SRF
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Chicago Red Stars W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 3.0last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Seattle Reign FC W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Line movement
Chicago Red Stars W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Seattle Reign FC W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Seattle Reign FC W result here, shaped mainly by Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)0.68Expected goals (away)1.80Goal correlation0.12
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.