Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Club Brugge KV21:00
Wed 25 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
LiverpoolMost likelyClub Brugge KV win · 46%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Club Brugge KV win
Oddbert gives Club Brugge KV a 46% chance of winning.
46%Club Brugge KV
22%Draw
32%Liverpool
In 100 matches like this, Club Brugge KV would win about 46. In the other 54 or so, Club Brugge KV doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Club Brugge KV win 46, Draw 22, Liverpool win 32.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
46%1Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV win
22%XDrawDraw
32%2LiverpoolLiverpool win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Club Brugge KV meet Liverpool. The model leans toward Club Brugge KV, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Away form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Club Brugge KV (46%), doesn't happen in about 54 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Club Brugge KV
- W2-1PE
- W3-0LEN
- W4-3INT
- L2-3AV
- L1-4AM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Liverpool
- W3-1CP
- L2-3FEN
- L0-1ARS
- W2-0BRI
- W4-3VIL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Club Brugge KV
Absence data is not available for this match.
Liverpool
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Club Brugge KV
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.02last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.29last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 10 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- N. Tresoldi6G 0A10 apps
- Carlos Forbs2G 3A9 apps
- A. Stanković2G 2A6 apps
Liverpool
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.76last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.32last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.0last 10
- Shots
- 18.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 13.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- B. Barcola3G 3A10 apps
- A. Isak5G 0A8 apps
- F. Wirtz2G 3A10 apps
Line movement
Club Brugge KV—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Liverpool—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Club Brugge KV, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Away form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (home)2.88Away form (away)9.17Home advantage (team-tuned)130Pi-rating edge-0.43Expected goals (home)2.33League id2.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.