Coventry vs Fulham prediction
Premier LeagueRound 8
Coventry16:00
Sat 24 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FulhamMost likelyFulham win · 39%
Best price2.39 Onexbet
Prediction
35%1Coventrymarket 32%
27%XDrawmarket 26%
38%2Fulhammarket 42%
Coventry+2.5 ppDraw+0.4 ppFulham-2.9 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Coventrypays 8% more than the typical book | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | Fulhampays 4% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.52 | 2.33 |
| Onexbet | 3.12best | 3.61best | 2.39best |
| Pinnacle | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.33 |
| Sbo | 2.65 | 3.19 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Fulham at 2.39 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Coventry
- W1-0NF
- L0-5BRI
- L0-1MC
- L0-1HC
- L0-3ARS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Fulham
- L1-2IPS
- D1-1MU
- D0-0LIV
- L2-3CP
- L0-1SUN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Coventry
No reported absences.
Fulham
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Coventry
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.49last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 0.9last 9
Fulham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.61last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Line movement
Coventry—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Fulham—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Fulham result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (away) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)1.66Pi-rating edge0.63Rest-days edge20.9Defensive xG form (home)1.73Recent form (away)1.48Home advantage (team-tuned)76.7
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.