Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League C - 6
Cyprus15:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
MontenegroMost likelyMontenegro win · 39%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Montenegro win
Oddbert gives Montenegro a 39% chance of winning.
37%Cyprus
24%Draw
39%Montenegro
In 100 matches like this, Montenegro would win about 39. In the other 61 or so, Montenegro doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Cyprus win 37, Draw 24, Montenegro win 39.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
37%1CyprusCyprus win
24%XDrawDraw
39%2MontenegroMontenegro win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Match previewSummary
Cyprus meet Montenegro. The model leans only slightly toward Montenegro in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Montenegro (39%), doesn't happen in about 61 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Cyprus
- W2-1LAT
- W2-0ARM
- D0-0LAT
- L1-2MON
- W2-0LIE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Montenegro
- D0-0ARM
- W2-1LAT
- W3-2ARM
- W2-1CYP
- D2-2SLO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Cyprus
Absence data is not available for this match.
Montenegro
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Cyprus 0Draws 1Montenegro 3
- MON 2-1 CYP
- MON 4-0 CYP
- CYP 0-2 MON
- CYP 0-0 MON
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Cyprus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Key players
Player data from 5 of 10 matches
- M. Edwards2G 0A4 apps
- Nick Tsaroulla0G 2A3 apps
- Ioannis Kosti1G 0A3 apps
Montenegro
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- N. Krstović4G 1A6 apps
- Vasilije Adžić3G 0A6 apps
- M. Osmajić2G 0A6 apps
Line movement
Cyprus—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Montenegro—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Montenegro in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (home)1320Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.