De Graafschap W vs Ajax W prediction
Eredivisie WomenRound 11
De Graafschap W16:45
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Ajax WMost likelyAjax W win · 57%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Ajax W win
Oddbert gives Ajax W a 57% chance of winning.
24%De Graafschap W
19%Draw
57%Ajax W
In 100 matches like this, Ajax W would win about 57. In the other 43 or so, Ajax W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: De Graafschap W win 24, Draw 19, Ajax W win 57.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
24%1De Graafschap WDe Graafschap W win
19%XDrawDraw
57%2Ajax WAjax W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Ajax W (57%), doesn't happen in about 43 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
De Graafschap W
- W2-1UW
- W1-0FW
- W3-0AW
- L0-4PW
- W3-2PZW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Ajax W
- W2-0TW
- L1-4PW
- W4-1FW
- W7-1ADH
- W5-1AW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
De Graafschap W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Ajax W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
De Graafschap W 0Draws 0Ajax W 1
- AW 1-0 DGW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
De Graafschap W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 9
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 9
- BTTS
- 4 / 9
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 9
Ajax W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 1.0last 1
- Shots
- —last 0
- Shots on target
- 2.0last 1
- Fouls
- 12.0last 1
- Yellow cards
- 0.5last 2
Line movement
De Graafschap W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Ajax W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Ajax W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.74Expected goals (home)1.00Goal correlation0.20
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.