Denver Summit W vs Angel City W prediction
NWSL WomenRound Group Stage
Denver Summit W02:45
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Angel City WMost likelyDenver Summit W win · 40%
Best price2.15 Betano
Prediction
40%1Denver Summit Wmarket 45%
22%XDrawmarket 25%
38%2Angel City Wmarket 30%
Our model vs market
Denver Summit W -4.6 ppDraw -3.5 ppAngel City W +8.1 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Stale predictionPrediction as of 13 Oct 2026Predictions for this league are paused — this is the last one we made, not a live call.
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Denver Summit Wpays 5% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | Angel City Wpays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.15best | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60best | 2.88 |
| Betvictor | 1.93 | 3.13 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.48 | 2.96 |
| Onexbet | 2.03 | 3.48 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.55 | 3.07best |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
This prediction is stale (paused league or not refreshed), so we size nothing on it.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Denver Summit W
- W3-0CRS
- L1-4KCW
- W2-1SRF
- D2-2BFW
- D3-3ACW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Angel City W
- D1-1NGF
- W1-0WSW
- W3-0URW
- W3-1SRF
- D3-3DSW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Denver Summit W
No reported absences.
Angel City W
No reported absences.
Head to head
Denver Summit W 0Draws 1Angel City W 0
- ACW 3-3 DSW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Denver Summit W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Angel City W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Line movement
Denver Summit W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Angel City W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Denver Summit W result here, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.47Expected goals (home)1.52Goal correlation0.12
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.