Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona prediction
La LigaRound 14
Deportivo La Coruna17:00
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
BarcelonaMost likelyBarcelona win · 62%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Barcelona win
Oddbert gives Barcelona a 62% chance of winning.
17%Deportivo La Coruna
21%Draw
62%Barcelona
In 100 matches like this, Barcelona would win about 62. In the other 38 or so, Barcelona doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Deportivo La Coruna win 17, Draw 21, Barcelona win 62.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
17%1Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna win
21%XDrawDraw
62%2BarcelonaBarcelona win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Deportivo La Coruna meet Barcelona. The model leans toward Barcelona, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Barcelona (62%), doesn't happen in about 38 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Deportivo La Coruna
- D0-0ESP
- W2-1OSA
- L0-1AM
- D1-1LEV
- L2-3RS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Barcelona
- W2-1AM
- W3-0AV
- W6-1ALA
- L1-2RM
- L2-4PSG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Deportivo La Coruna
Absence data is not available for this match.
Barcelona
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Deportivo La Coruna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.31last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.05last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 12.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- P. Aubameyang3G 2A7 apps
- Mario Soriano2G 2A10 apps
- B. Nsongo2G 0A10 apps
Barcelona
Goals
- Scored / game
- 3.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.85last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.28last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 10 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 20.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.5last 10
- Fouls
- 11.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- Lamine Yamal6G 10A10 apps
- Raphinha11G 0A8 apps
- Fermín4G 5A9 apps
Line movement
Deportivo La Coruna—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Barcelona—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Barcelona, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-1.63Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-283Expected goals (away)2.31What's at stake (away)0.17Rest-days edge0.17Defensive xG form (home)1.13
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.