Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction
La LigaRound 9Estadio de Riazor
Deportivo La Coruna21:00
Fri 16 Oct
Prediction T-24h
LevanteMost likelyDeportivo La Coruna win · 43%
Best price2.17 Onexbet
Prediction
43%1Deportivo La Corunamarket 46%
28%XDrawmarket 27%
29%2Levantemarket 27%
Deportivo La Coruna-3.0 ppDraw+0.7 ppLevante+2.3 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Deportivo La Corunapays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 6% more than the typical book | Levantepays 6% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betvictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.45 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.52 | 3.50 |
| Onexbet | 2.17best | 3.62best | 3.60best |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.54 | 3.52 |
| Sbo | 2.09 | 3.04 | 3.08 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Deportivo La Coruna at 2.17 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Deportivo La Coruna
- L2-3RS
- D1-1RB
- L0-1SEV
- D1-1GET
- W3-2VIL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Levante
- L1-3VIL
- L2-4BAR
- D0-0MAL
- W5-2RB
- D0-0OSA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Deportivo La Coruna
No reported absences.
Levante
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Deportivo La Coruna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 8
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 8
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.20last 8
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 8
- BTTS
- 7 / 8
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 8
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 8
- Shots
- 11.5last 8
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 8
- Fouls
- 12.5last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 8
Levante
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.75last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.71last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna
Line movement
Deportivo La Coruna—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Levante—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Deportivo La Coruna result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Rest-days edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.23Rest-days edge-20.9Attacking xG form (away)1.54Home advantage (team-tuned)73.2Defensive xG form (away)2.19Fixture congestion (away)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.